10 essential statistics

Have you always hated math and does the thought of calculating statistics give you goose bumps? Chili Poker is providing you with 10 (rough) statistics that will help you daily as you play at hold’em tables!

Your chances of hitting aces: one in 220!
They say patience is the key word in poker…


When you have kings in your hand, you have one chance in 22 to see aces at a full table of 10 players.
In other words, hurry up and bet!


A pair against a less valuable pair
How to be the favorite at 80%.


80% chance


Only 20% chance of victory



50-50:A typical coin-flip situation: one pair against two superior cards
The pair is slightly favored in most cases



52% chance

48% chance
The pair is slightly favored in most cases



1 community card and one superior card.
The weaker the kicker, the greater the chances of sharing the pot



72% chance

23% chance
5% chance of sharing the pot


34% chance

22% chance

44% chance of sharing the pot
The weaker the kicker, the greater the chances of sharing the pot.





Transforming one’s pocket pair into a set.
The mantra of small pairs: if I make my set on the flop, it’s going to hurt!




12% (1 in 8) chance of making a set on the flop
4% (1 in 24) chance of making a set on the turn
4% (1 in 24) chance of making a set on the river
That is, a 20% (1 in 5) chance in all.



Completing one’s flush after the flop.
Or, “How not to throw one’s money out the window.”


Player


Flop
20% (1 in 5) chance of making one’s flush at the turn.
4% (1 in 5) chance of making one’s flush at the river. That is, a 35% (1 in 3) chance in all.




Completing one’s straight after the flop.
Flush and straight: Same battle?


Player


Flop
17% (1 in 6) chance of making a straight at the Turn 17% (1 in 6) chance of making a straight at the River
That is, a 31% (1 in 3) chance in all.




Miracles. They say they exist.
Straight and flush: Same battle?

Don’t count on them to make you a winner.

A few examples of post-flop magic:

Beat a pocket set with a pair: 5% (1 in 20)
Beat a flush with a pair: 3% (1 in 33)
Beat a flush with a straight: 0% (!!!)





100%: The degree of statistics’ reliability.
100%: The degree of statistics’ reliability. Don’t let bad times get you down. If you put your money in the pot as the favorite, most of the time you will be a winning player